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☆ China can't use civilian ships to invade Taiwan just yet, but it's getting there, says former US intelligence officer
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementChina's fleet of civilian ships earmarked for war is unlikely to successfully invade Taiwan until at least 2030. AdvertisementThese civilian ships are mostly used to ferry military assets, particularly for beach landings, in exercises focused along the Taiwan Strait, Dahm added. AdvertisementChina might also use open-deck civilian ships as sea-based landing pads for helicopters, he added. Alternatively, the civilian ships can be used to rapidly transport military resources along China's coast during war, he added. "The PLA is clearly developing required procedures and increasing proficiency using civilian ships for logistics and landing operations," he wrote.

Persons: Michael Dahm, They're, Dahm, —, William Lai Ching Organizations: Service, Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies, US, China Maritime Studies Institute, PLA, Trade, People's Liberation Army Locations: Taiwan, Beijing, China, Taiwan Strait

☆ China surrounding Taiwan would be enough to drag the US into military conflict, said the majority of 52 US experts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US military is likely to intervene if China enacts a quarantine or blockade in China, experts say. Almost all of the surveyed experts — 96% — said the US would join the fight if China were to fully invade Taiwan. Experts aren't confident that US allies will get involvedHowever, the experts weren't as confident that US allies would jump into the conflict. Meanwhile, 60% of the experts were confident that US allies would assist militarily if China were to invade the island. CSIS also surveyed 35 experts and scholars from Taiwan, who were less optimistic about US intervention.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, William Lai Ching, Tsai Ing, Beijing's, Xi Organizations: CSIS, Pentagon, Service, Center, Strategic & International Studies, People's Liberation Army, APEC, Democratic Progressive Locations: China, Taiwan, Beijing, Washington, Taipei, San Francisco

☆ Taiwan says China is still sending balloons to the island, which it calls an act of 'cognitive warfare'
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewChina isn't letting up on its deluge of balloons on Taiwan, sending over another six high-altitude balloons on Sunday, according to the island's defense ministry. But Taiwan said on January 6 that China is using the balloons in a campaign of harassment. Tensions between Taiwan and China are growing as William Lai Ching-te was elected president of the island on January 13. Lai's party, the Democratic Progressive Party, has long campaigned on resisting China and preparing for the threat of war. AdvertisementChina's foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment from BI.

Persons: —, China hasn't, Axios, it's, William Lai Ching, te Organizations: Service, Business, Taiwanese Defense Ministry, People's Liberation Army, Pentagon, Democratic Progressive Party Locations: China, Taiwan, Pingtung City, Taipei, Washington, Beijing, South Carolina

☆ China doesn't have the military power to successfully invade Taiwan, the majority of 52 US experts said in a survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The CSIS surveyed 52 US experts on whether they think China can successfully invade Taiwan. AdvertisementA new survey of leading experts from the US and Taiwan casts doubt on China's ability to invade Taiwan with its current military strength. CSIS also surveyed 35 experts from Taiwan, of whom only 17% said they felt China had the power to successfully execute an invasion. China could also impose a military blockade on Taiwan, which 81% of US experts believe Beijing could do, while 60% of the experts from Taiwan concurred. Around 68% of American experts think such a crisis is likely to occur.

Persons: —, China —, William Lai Ching, Tsai Ing, Xi Jinping, Ma Ying, ROSLAN RAHMAN, Lai Organizations: CSIS, Service, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Liberation Army, Democratic Progressive Party, Kuomintang, Getty Locations: China, Taiwan, Beijing, Congress, Washington, Taipei . Lai

☆ China hates the new president of Taiwan — but its 'real nightmare scenario' is a Trump-Taiwan combo: analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewFormer President Donald Trump winning the White House in 2024 would create a "nightmare" for China, especially with president-elect William Lai Ching-te at Taiwan's helm, an analyst on China said. Advertisement"Beijing's real nightmare scenario is not necessarily watching Lai Ching-te winning the presidency of Taiwan, but it's the combination of Lai Ching-te and perhaps Donald Trump coming back into the White House," Daniels said. "He was a transactional president," Rosen said. Trump followed up by suggesting that the US may one day abandon its agreement to the "one China policy," Beijing's red-line stance that Taiwan is part of China. Cross-strait tensions soared, but just two months later, Trump called Xi and agreed that the US would uphold the "one China policy."

Persons: —, Donald Trump, William Lai Ching, Lai, it's Trump, Rorry Daniels, Lai Ching, Daniels, Trump, Mike Pompeo, Pompeo, Xi Jinping's, Stanley Rosen, It's, Rosen, Tsai Ing, Wen, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley Organizations: Service, White House, Business, Democratic Progressive Party, Foreign Affairs Ministry, Lai's, Asia Society, Center for, Nikkei, Taiwan, University of Southern, China Institute, Xi, GOP, Iowa Republican Locations: China, Taiwan's, Beijing, Taiwan, Center for China, Nikkei Asia, University of Southern California's US, Hong Kong, Taipei, Iowa

☆ Why China hates the new president of Taiwan
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

"Lai Ching-te clings stubbornly to the separatist position for 'Taiwan independence.' A matter of Taiwan's independenceIn 2017, while he was premier, Lai referred to himself as a "pragmatic worker for 'Taiwan independence.'" AdvertisementLai has pledged to maintain status quo and stability in Taiwan, but China isn't backing down on its stance either. "I think China hates him, really hates him," Wu Xinbo, an international relations professor at Shanghai's Fudan University, told Reuters, referring to Lai. "It is because if he is elected as the leader of Taiwan, he may come to advance his goal of Taiwan independence, which will provoke a crisis across the Taiwan Strait," added Wu.

Persons: William Lai Ching, Taiwan's, Lai, —, Wiliam Lai Ching, Lai Ching, Xi Jinping, Wu Xinbo, Wu, Wang Yi, Jeremy Mark, William Lai, Chong Ja Ian, Chong, Tsai Ing Organizations: Democratic Progressive Party, Service, China's Taiwan Affairs Office, Chinese Communist Party, Shanghai's Fudan University, Reuters, Analysts, Lai's, Atlantic Council, Eurasia Group, KMT, National University of Singapore, Carnegie China, Channel News Asia Locations: China, Beijing, Taiwan, South America, Taiwan Strait, Taiwan's

☆ A war over Taiwan would be even more damaging to the US economy than COVID was, Bloomberg forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A war over Taiwan could wipe out 6.7% from the US economy in its first year, according to a Bloomberg Economics analysis. AdvertisementThe US economy could take a major hit if war breaks out over Taiwan, according to a Bloomberg Economics analysis published on Tuesday. US GDP could take a 6.7% hit in the first year of conflict if Washington gets drawn into the war, Bloomberg forecasts. AdvertisementOverall, a war over Taiwan could hit the world's economy to the tune of $10 trillion — or about 10% of global GDP — Bloomberg forecasts. Bloomberg Economics' analysis is based on geopolitical considerations and economic modeling.

Persons: —, Xi Jinping, William Lai Ching, Lai, Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Democratic Progressive Party, Mizuho Bank Locations: Taiwan, China, Washington, South Korea, Japan, Beijing, Asia

☆ The billionaire founder of a key Apple supplier announced his Taiwan presidency run, saying Beijing can't threaten him because of his links with Apple, Tesla, Amazon, and Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Gou said investors would lose confidence in China if the country confiscated Foxconn's assets. AdvertisementAdvertisementTerry Gou, the billionaire founder of Foxconn — a key supplier to Apple — has thrown his hat into the ring for Taiwan's presidential election. Gou said Beijing — which claimed self-ruled Taiwan as its territory — wouldn't be able to use the businessman's vast empire to influence him. Gou said Foxconn's clients include the most important names on Wall Street, including Apple, Amazon, Tesla, and the current investor-favorite, Nvidia. So, supply chains would be massively disrupted if Beijing confiscated Foxconn's assets, he said.

Persons: Terry Gou, he's, Gou, Foxconn, Apple —, Foxconn —, William Lai Ching, Hou Yu, Ko Wen Organizations: Morning, Apple, Hai Technology, Chinese Communist Party, Nvidia, Communist Party, Bloomberg, Taiwan's, KMT, Democratic Progressive Party, ih, New, Kuomintang, Taiwan People's Locations: Beijing, China, Taiwan, Taipei, Foxconn, New Taipei City

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